ST JOHN’S, Antigua, CMC – The people of Ukraine are the principal victims of the unjustified and unprovoked war launched against them by Russia on February 24, 2022. But in the year since then, it has become clear that other victims – on a different scale – have been all the world’s nations, particularly the tiny, poor, and powerless.
When the Russian tanks rolled into Ukraine, the global economy was still struggling from the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic that had battered economies worldwide, especially those of developing countries. The supply of food and other goods had been severely affected by border closures, ships trapped in ports, airplanes grounded, and the high costs of scarce goods. One year later, the global economy is in much worse shape due to Russia’s war. Inflation rates are soaring, and the cost of living everywhere has increased dramatically. These rising costs of finance, energy, and food, and a debt burden that has expanded, have pushed some countries to the edge of bankruptcy.
In a real sense, therefore, the Russian war is a war against the world, and while the people of Ukraine are the primary sufferers, the people of other countries have not been spared. This war is no longer a “European war,” nor is it only a contest for supremacy between Russia and the member states of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. It is a war that engulfs every nation with grave consequences.
When Russia began its war against Ukraine, it violated sacred principles enshrined in the United Nations Charter. Those principles highly valued by small and powerless states are sovereignty, political independence, and territorial integrity.
As one of the five permanent UN Security Council members responsible for collective security, the Russian government was well aware of these principles. Yet, with no justification for its aggression and provocation, it launched its war on Ukraine. Today, it stands responsible for the humanitarian crisis that its actions have caused in Ukraine, including the rape and murder of civilians and the destruction of civilian objects and the natural environment.
The world community depends upon a rules-based system for collective international security and to ensure that order prevails in a predictable way to avoid wars and economic chaos. It is in the interest of every country in the international community, including those powerful in military and economic terms, to always adhere to a system of rules. While short-term national objectives might be achieved by breaking the rules, eventually, such actions could be more sustainable.
Through its aggression in Ukraine, Russia has significantly weakened the rules-based system upon which the world depends, particularly the small, the poor, and the least resilient.
The war is having an enormous impact on the global supply chain, impeding the flow of goods, fuelling considerable increases in the cost of food creating catastrophic food shortages. There are now protests and riots in many parts of the world over the rising cost of living, and the immense difficult people face in trying to make ends meet. These protests and riots are directed at their governments, even though none of these conditions resulted from any policy decision taken or implemented by them.
Many governments worldwide are now hapless victims of Russia’s decision to wage war against Ukraine. Further, having already accumulated a heavy debt burden from the COVID-19 pandemic, the rise in interest rates in the global commercial market has rendered debt unpayable, except by diverting money from domestic social welfare and capital projects. These governments now find themselves having to pay high interest on new loans. Many spend as much as 45 percent of their export earnings to service existing debt obligations. Some will fail, and the world might face another debt crisis.
Let it be said, however, that the Ukrainians are the greatest victims in terms of loss of lives and livelihoods and the decimation of their country. They are fighting for their identity, their territory, and their survival. They deserve the admiration and support of the world for their courage, strength, and resistance.
Right now, the world needs peace to overcome the immediate harmful effects of this war; lasting peace is what the world will need to recover from the impact of the war on their economies and their people. More than anything else, every nation needs a renewed commitment to end the scourge of war and restore inclusionary engagement in supporting peace, including economic stability and predictability, and an end to dealing with territorial claims peacefully and within international law.
Russia needs that peace as much as Ukraine and the rest of the world. A great deal of Russian treasure is being spent on this war, which, after a year, has not given Russia the swift victory its government expected. The lives of Russian soldiers are being lost, and Russians are fleeing their country, depriving it of needed skills and talent. Russia, like Ukraine, will also suffer a prolonged period of agony whenever the war ends before recovering from this unprovoked war.
Ending the war swiftly and returning to the principles of the UN Charter is in every country’s interest.
- Sir Ronald Sanders is Antigua and Barbuda’s Ambassador to the United States and the Organization of American States. He is also a Senior Fellow at the Institute of Commonwealth Studies at the University of London and Massey College at the University of Toronto.
and then 